| Time | Read | Lesson |
| 8:26–9:48 | Net GEX +80 to +120, pinned 7,677–7,697. The short off the 8:48 5-min close at 7,684 failed back to 7,692 by 8:59. | On a positive day, breaks inside the range get faded. Don't press them. |
| 9:16–9:28 | 7,737 draining. Zero gamma rose to 7,675–7,680 and net GEX fell to +31 with price sitting on zero gamma. | Shrinking net GEX plus price at zero gamma means the regime is fragile. |
| 9:20–9:34 | Short at 7,683, stop moved to entry, stopped out at breakeven. | Still inside the pin; the edges were still being defended. |
| 9:52–10:06 | Net GEX +20, then −13.6 at 9:55, then −44.9. 7,657 built −10.3Bn over 30 min. | The regime flipped with price barely moving. 30-min flow showed the pull. |
| 10:17 | ES 7,664.6, net −165, zero gamma 7,681.5. Max change at 7,637 on the 5/10/15/30-min rows, up to −23.4Bn. | Negative regime plus aligned 15–30-min flow means follow the break: 7,660 → 7,657 → 7,648.5 → 7,637. A 5-min close back above 7,677 cancels it. |